Hello!
Spawned from some projects at work, I have been reading and studying several of the cyrptocurrencies (for about the last year or so) and over the last 2 weeks I’ve constructed a basic experimental rig.
My current mining rig has 9 Nvidia cards spread between 1060/1070/1080. I’ve been characterizing each of them for power and hash performance to see if the things I had been reading online actually match up in reality and they appear to.
My idea is to begin mining several of the alt coins starting solely with Feathercoin with the idea of generating 20-30k coins over the period of 3 months or so and the holding the coins. Rotating through several coins to build up positions in them through mining across 2018.
I am currently hashing at about 5.6Mh/s on Feathercoin and I believe I can boost my current performance about 10-15% with these 9 cards. Currently I’ve invested about $4k or so in the 9 card system.
I want to review the results and coin counts over the next 2 weeks during my “Experiment” phase. If the coin counts look correct (based on hash and difficulty rate) I will then try Phase-2.
Phase-2 would be to add 10 additional 1080 or 1080TI cards (or a mix of AMD and Nvidia) cards. My estimates on adding 10 more 1080TI cards would raise my hash rate to around 47MH/s on Feathercoin. This would require another $8k investment in my mining hardware bringing my total investment to around $12k.
Focusing purely on Feathercoin for 3 months, I am making a few assumptions.
- Difficulty level does not increase more than 3x its current level
- Coin price in USD does not drop more than 50%
- Hash rate of 46MH/s online before 12/31/17
Now, Assuming a three month window with increasing difficulty of 80, 160, and 320 , I calculate the coin count to be as follows. 13k month1, 7k month2, and 3k month3. Total of about 20k coins. Now, if the USD value of the coins stays around 30cents, that would be worth about $6k US or close to the amount of the Phase-2 costs.
If the value of FTC drops 50% while the difficultly still raises to 320, then my value in US is somewhere around $3k. In theory I’m sure I could see 10 NVidia 1080TI cards in a batch for $3k-$4k as well. So liquidating hardware and FTC would get me close to my $7k phase-2 investment.
Now, if the difficulty rises to around 200 or so and the value of the coin raises to around $0.75, my math claims I may have closer to 30k coins valued at around $22k USD.
If after three months, any of these scenarios play out (meaning I have around 20k coins valued in the range of $3k to $22k USD) I would be highly inclined to add even more mining power and continue to mine for the rest of 2018 on both FTC and some other coins as well.
So … what am I missing?
- I think I have the risk figured out ???
- I am willing to invest maybe $20k to $30k USD in graphics cards for mining over the next several months.
- I am looking at “investment time” in the 1-2 year range with a few “Experiments” to sanity check the results in 3 month moving windows.
- I am not going to freak out with a possibly “ROI” swing between $3k or $22k in a 90 day timeperiod
- Electricity power, space, and cooling is a non-issue for my facility.
- Technical details are also a non-issue to make the miner work
I’d like to hear form others on this. What am I missing? What am I overlooking that could make my “investment” worth even less than $3k (aside from a complete market collapse).
Thanks for reading and I look forward to replies!
https://photos.app.goo.gl/0SiHqDiufh2061AG3
(the 9th card is mining on another PC)