[quote name=“Horizon” post=“40467” timestamp=“1386321277”]
I think it’s way too early to peg gains and losses of crypto to gains and losses of fiat. If anything has lost value pegged to crypto it’s Gold, not the reserve currencies. I still think during this shift period from fiat to crypto investors will not see crypto as an alternative to fiat, they’ll see it as alternative to Gold as a storage of value. FTC’s price has nothing to do with the devaluation of fiat as countries desperately compete to raise exports to save their economies by offering the cheapest option. FTC’s price is pegged to BTC, which is viewed as ‘digital Gold.’
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The comparison to gold is very interesting and the point here, more so than many might think, is an apt one: since banks and governments has begun moving away from the tangible to fueling growth with debt (obviously accumulating debt to finanace projects is ancient, but nothing like we’ve seen since the late 70s/early 80s), ‘gold’ has lost significant value.
‘Gold’, far different than the piece you can actually hold, because the piece you actually hold hasn’t been wrung through the securities department of huge banks 50+ times. Similar points can be made about many commodities; my favorite anecdote comes out of Michael Lewis’ book Boomerang, about the financial crisis. One of the more paranoid (realistic?) investors he interviewed kept physical gold bars and hundreds of thousands of dollars in physical nickels* (metal = a bit under $0.07) in a vault, largely due to his belief that buying it electronically is largely worthless. While worthless may be a strong word, I’d certainly say a case could be made that artificial ‘gold’ is being created by banks at a higher rate than BTC are being mined.
I’ll stop before getting into this: [url=http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-11-25/how-gold-price-manipulated-during-london-fix]http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-11-25/how-gold-price-manipulated-during-london-fix[/url]
*He, incidentally, was heavily questioned at multiple levels for trying to buy X amount of a specific form of currency.